Example analysis

Kimberley Road, Clapham: the one we said no to

A £1.295m five bed terrace where the numbers do not stack: the modelled end value barely clears the asking price. Published because a tool you can trust has to be able to say no, and to show what a no looks like in full.

Asking price
£1,295,000
End value
£1,332,594
Refurbishment inc VAT
£16,210
Rent, post refurb
£5,826/mo

5 bedroom · Mid-terrace house · 1841 sqft · EPC D · SW9 9DG

What the system flagged on this listing

  • gdv below comparable evidence: post-refurb valuation £1,332,594 is below the size-adjusted comparable value of £1,332,594
  • hmo suspected standard valuation: 5 bedrooms valued on a standard residential basis; if it operates as an HMO the valuation method may not apply

The valuation, and every comparable behind it

9 of 100 pulled comparables drove the valuation, with a matched median of £1,250,000. The price per square foot cross-check implies £1,332,594 for this floor area.

This valuation is based on 9 recently sold properties near this 5-bedroom Mid-terrace house (1,841 sqft). 2 sales were excluded from the pool as they belonged to a different postcode sector with a materially higher price-per-sqft than the subject's local pocket (SW9 9D). This avoids pulling the valuation up against a different micro-market. We found 3 sold mid-terrace houses within 100 sqft of this property's size. Not enough upper-quartile comparables to isolate, so all close-size sales were used and adjusted for size. Confidence reduced accordingly. Key examples: 37, Kimberley Road, 1,830 sqft, £1,325,000; 47, Mayflower Road, 2,002 sqft, £1,391,300; 84, Dalyell Road, 1,658 sqft, £1,250,000. Notably, one sale was on the same road as this property (37, Kimberley Road, 1,830 sqft, £1,325,000), providing a highly relevant price anchor. Based on these comparables, a refurbished 5-bedroom mid-terrace house (1,841 sqft) in this area is valued at £1,332,594. This is the median of the comparable evidence, the point at which half the comparable sales sit above and half below. Confidence: limited. The purchase price is £1,295,000, which is £37,594 (2.8%) below this post-refurb valuation. This gap represents the potential uplift from purchasing below market value and refurbishing. The comparable sales confirm the market supports a higher price once the property is brought to a good standard.
Sold comparables used in this valuation
AddressSoldPriceBedsTypeSqft£/sqftDistanceUsed
37, Kimberley Road, SW9 9DQ2025-10-10£1,325,0004terraced_house1830£7240.04Yes
2, Stockwell Mews, SW9 9GX2025-03-31£880,0005terraced_house1561£5640.15Yes
25, Kay Road, SW9 9DF2025-01-17£1,200,0004terraced_house1539£7800.02Yes
2, Edithna Street, SW9 9JP2024-11-22£810,0004terraced_house1033£7840.05Yes
47, Mayflower Road, SW9 9JY2025-03-20£1,391,3006terraced_house2002£6950.13Yes
84, Dalyell Road, SW9 9UP2024-12-03£1,250,0004terraced_house1658£7540.20Yes
11, Stirling Road, SW9 9EF2026-06-26£1,385,0004terraced_house1324£1,0460.15Yes
141, Hubert Grove, SW9 9NZ2025-01-08£950,0004terraced_house1572£6040.15Yes
30, Mayflower Road, SW9 9JZ2024-09-20£1,395,0006terraced_house2099£6650.16Yes
34, Edithna Street, SW9 9JP2025-09-09£925,0002terraced_house1023£9040.04No
56, Hargwyne Street, SW9 9RG2024-12-16£1,170,0004terraced_house1033£1,1330.16No
40, Mordaunt Street, SW9 9RB2024-11-01£1,150,0004terraced_house1066£1,0790.20No
26, Arlesford Road, SW9 9JT2025-05-02£1,155,0002terraced_house1539£7500.10No
86, Lingham Street, SW9 9HF2025-08-07£860,0002terraced_house1012£8500.06No
29, Stockwell Green, SW9 9HZ2025-03-07£1,040,0003terraced_house1399£7430.14No
70, Mordaunt Street, SW9 9RB2025-10-06£950,0003terraced_house1033£9200.15No
5, Tasman Road, SW9 9LZ2026-02-17£955,0003terraced_house1152£8290.19No
3, Tasman Road, SW9 9LZ2025-08-29£840,0003terraced_house1227£6850.19No
7, Villiers Mews, SW9 9PJ2025-08-29£900,0002terraced_house969£9290.15No
14, Kay Road, SW9 9DE2025-09-10£710,0003terraced_house1141£6220.04No
75c, Landor Road, SW9 9RT2026-06-26£540,0003terraced_house775£6970.18No
39, Mordaunt Street, SW9 9RD2025-05-29£1,150,0004flat1496£7690.19No
63a, Landor Road, SW9 9RT2025-09-23£637,5003terraced_house840£7590.19No
65a, Landor Road, SW9 9RT2025-10-16£460,0002terraced_house581£7920.19No
80, Dalyell Road, SW9 9UP2025-01-16£675,0002terraced_house861£7840.19No
29b, Arlesford Road, SW9 9JS2024-12-02£694,0004flat850£8160.08No
Flat 1, 90, Hargwyne Street, SW9 9RJ2025-09-26£780,0004flat603£1,2940.08No
119, First Floor Flat, Landor Road, SW9 9RP2026-03-27£350,0001flat474£7380.04No
6, Tasman Road, SW9 9LT2025-07-24£875,0003semi-detached_house1098£7970.17No
299b, Clapham Road, SW9 9BN2026-04-15£700,0004flat1130£6190.16No
Flat C, 61, Landor Road, SW9 9RT2025-11-28£560,0004flat786£7120.20No
Flat 1, 7, Clitheroe Road, SW9 9DY2025-07-17£990,0004flat1216£8140.14No
Flat 3, 78, Lingham Street, SW9 9HF2026-05-29£510,0002flat764£6680.07No
Flat 1, 121, Landor Road, SW9 9RP2026-03-31£517,0002flat592£8730.04No
118b, Hubert Grove, SW9 9PD2025-03-21£810,0004flat1119£7240.16No
8a, Dalyell Road, SW9 9QR2025-12-10£390,0002flat474£8230.08No
Flat C, 119, Landor Road, SW9 9RP2025-03-31£375,0001flat463£8100.04No
Flat 4, 6, Tregothnan Road, SW9 9JX2026-05-01£500,0002flat850£5880.09No
23, Ground Floor Flat, Edithna Street, SW9 9JR2026-07-17£595,0002flat592£1,0050.06No
1a, Argyll Close, SW9 9QL2025-09-15£330,0001flat441£7480.10No

The refurbishment, room by room

Total £16,210 including VAT: rooms £0, energy works £12,867, overheads £461, with a 15% contingency carried.

The rent, with its evidence

Market rent today £5,989/month (£5,670 to £5,995), post-refurbishment estimate £5,826/month, a stated premium of -2.7%, from 3 matched comparable lets. Confidence 36%.

3 comparable rental listings were identified near this property, matched on property type, bedroom count, and proximity. The comps indicate a median of £5989/month for properties of this type and size, with the 65th percentile sitting at £5869/month, used here to reflect the premium a refurbished, well-presented property commands over typical stock. Post-refurb rental estimate: £5826/month (£69912/year).
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A real analysis from our own account, published unedited on 4 September 2026. Method: how every figure is produced.