Example analysis

Osprey Drive, Dudley: an auction flat with the flag showing

A £45,000 one bed flat carrying a £16,900 refurbishment and an auction flag. The flag is the point: auction listings carry risks a headline margin hides, and the report says so.

Asking price
£45,000
End value
£95,691
Refurbishment inc VAT
£16,897
Rent, post refurb
£740/mo

1 bedroom · Flat · 378 sqft · EPC C · DY1 2JR

What the system flagged on this listing

  • auction: auction
  • gdv below comparable evidence: post-refurb valuation GBP 95,691 is below the size-adjusted comparable value of GBP 96,101

The valuation, and every comparable behind it

3 of 100 pulled comparables drove the valuation, with a matched median of £172,000. The price per square foot cross-check implies £96,101 for this floor area.

This valuation is based on 15 recently sold properties near this 1-bedroom Flat (378 sqft). 12 sales were excluded from the pool as they belonged to a different postcode sector with a materially higher price-per-sqft than the subject's local pocket (DY1 2J). This avoids pulling the valuation up against a different micro-market. There were no nearby flat sales in sufficient quantity to value directly, so we identified 1 flat sale in the wider area to establish a price-per-sqft benchmark. With limited same-type sales available, we calculated the price per square foot across the best-matched nearby sold properties and applied that rate to this property's floor area of 378 sqft. Notably, 4 sales were on the same road as this property (50, Osprey Drive, 786 sqft, £180,000 and 91, Osprey Drive, 764 sqft, £105,889), providing a highly relevant price anchor. Post-refurb ceiling: the valuation was capped at £350/sqft, which is 1.6x the median price per sqft for the subject's postcode sector (DY1 2J). This prevents comps from adjacent higher-priced micro-markets from distorting the final number. Confidence reduced. Based on these comparables, a refurbished 1-bedroom flat (378 sqft) in this area is valued at £95,691. This is the median of the comparable evidence, the point at which half the comparable sales sit above and half below. Confidence: high. The purchase price is £45,000, which is £50,691 (53.0%) below this post-refurb valuation. This gap represents the potential uplift from purchasing below market value and refurbishing. The comparable sales confirm the market supports a higher price once the property is brought to a good standard. Sanity flag: GDV is more than 2x the asking price (2.13x). Either the asking is materially below market or the comp pool is skewing high. Worth a manual cross-check.
Sold comparables used in this valuation
AddressSoldPriceBedsTypeSqft£/sqftDistanceUsed
50, Osprey Drive, DY1 2JS2024-12-12£180,0002semi-detached_house786£2290.07Yes
91, Osprey Drive, DY1 2JS2025-10-01£105,8893semi-detached_house764£1390.11Yes
131, Osprey Drive, DY1 2JT2025-10-10£172,0003semi-detached_house947£1820.17Yes
131, Osprey Drive, DY1 2JT2024-12-13£150,0003semi-detached_house947£1580.17No
40, Corbyn Road, DY1 2LA2026-02-06£195,0002semi-detached_house710£2750.18No
15, Corbyn Road, DY1 2LA2025-09-22£190,0002semi-detached_house710£2680.18No
10, Montrose Drive, DY1 2JA2025-07-10£205,0002semi-detached_house538£3810.23No
171, Ashenhurst Road, DY1 2HZ2025-02-28£187,0002semi-detached_house700£2670.19No
80, Ketley Hill Road, DY1 2HT2025-12-03£180,0002semi-detached_house710£2540.21No
61, Ashenhurst Road, DY1 2HN2025-05-30£90,0002semi-detached_house700£1290.35No
6, St Lukes Terrace, DY1 2BL2026-04-02£158,0002semi-detached_house667£2370.35No
91, Langstone Road, DY1 2NL2025-05-30£210,0002semi-detached_house700£3000.24No
26, Ketley Hill Road, DY1 2HS2024-10-29£200,0002semi-detached_house700£2860.28No
176, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2NP2025-11-14£160,0002semi-detached_house700£2290.38No
168, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2NP2025-02-19£185,0002semi-detached_house710£2610.36No
91, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2NW2025-09-12£217,0002flat635£3420.15No
17, Kenilworth Court, DY1 2DT2025-03-07£117,5002flat753£1560.38No
21, Cowley Drive, DY1 2SS2024-11-29£167,5002semi-detached_house527£3180.38No
45, Falcon Way, DY1 2JP2026-03-27£134,0002semi-detached_house764£1750.07No
187, Ashenhurst Road, DY1 2JB2026-03-02£217,0002semi-detached_house1076£2020.20No
23a, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2JN2024-09-26£217,7502semi-detached_house818£2660.12No
90, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2NN2025-10-01£105,8893semi-detached_house829£1280.15No
70, Langstone Road, DY1 2NJ2025-04-16£157,5002semi-detached_house829£1900.19No
100, Corbyn Road, DY1 2JY2025-03-31£194,0002semi-detached_house743£2610.19No
5a, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2JN2025-05-30£180,0002semi-detached_house1076£1670.20No
4, Dibdale Street, DY1 2QS2026-01-30£165,0002terraced_house1012£1630.26No
36, Denbigh Close, DY1 2RJ2024-11-15£175,0002terraced_house538£3250.34No
7, Langstone Road, DY1 2NL2025-04-10£137,0003semi-detached_house764£1790.06No
13, Langstone Road, DY1 2NL2024-11-01£190,0003semi-detached_house710£2680.07No
31, Cowley Drive, DY1 2SS2024-09-06£190,0003semi-detached_house624£3040.35No
1, Russells Hall Road, DY1 2JN2025-04-28£170,0002semi-detached_house926£1840.21No
66, Ketley Hill Road, DY1 2HT2024-12-17£177,5002semi-detached_house732£2420.23No
50, Spring Pool Meadow, DY1 2PH2025-07-07£210,0002635£3310.25No
30, Scotts Green Close, DY1 2DU2025-03-19£275,0002detached_house818£3360.30No
85, Ashenhurst Road, DY1 2HU2024-11-05£146,0002semi-detached_house732£1990.30No
29, Ascot Drive, DY1 2SN2025-02-04£342,5004detached_house1270£2700.33No
57, Ashenhurst Road, DY1 2HN2025-08-29£155,0002semi-detached_house732£2120.36No
18, Kestrel Road, DY1 2JU2026-02-06£230,0003semi-detached_house915£2510.13No
1, Kestrel Road, DY1 2JU2025-12-15£200,0003semi-detached_house958£2090.13No
126, Ashenhurst Road, DY1 2HU2025-07-31£120,0002semi-detached_house807£1490.31No

The refurbishment, room by room

Total £16,897 including VAT: rooms £11,318, energy works £0, overheads £3,375, with a 15% contingency carried.

  • Kitchen12 costed items · £3,827
  • Bedroom10 costed items · £3,961
  • Bathroom11 costed items · £2,811
  • Lounge9 costed items · £720

The rent, with its evidence

Market rent today £724/month (£724 to £824), post-refurbishment estimate £740/month, a stated premium of 2.2%, from 10 matched comparable lets. Confidence 82%.

10 comparable rental listings were identified near this property, matched on property type, bedroom count, and proximity, with 4 already let and confirming achievable rents in the current market. The comps indicate a median of £724/month for properties of this type and size, with the 65th percentile sitting at £739/month, used here to reflect the premium a refurbished, well-presented property commands over typical stock. Post-refurb rental estimate: £740/month (£8880/year).
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A real analysis from our own account, published unedited on 4 September 2026. Method: how every figure is produced.